My Mistakes (and how to avoid them):
π During the last bull run, I entered the market during the accumulation phase (right before and during COVID). I felt the euphoria π€ when prices were skyrocketingβbut I made the mistake of not selling. Ultimately, I rode the wave π all the way back down to the bottom.
What to Do Instead:
1οΈβ£ Understand the Bitcoin Cycle π
Bitcoin operates in predictable cycles, typically around 4 years, driven by the halving event. Here's a simple breakdown:
Accumulation Phase π₯:
- Prices are low.
- Smart money (experienced investors) starts buying.
- News is quiet, sentiment is boring or bearish π₯±.
Bull Market π:
- Prices climb steadily, leading to parabolic growth π.
- Media hypes crypto π°, and newcomers flood in π.
- FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) kicks in.
Peak (Euphoria) π:
- Unsustainable highs are reached.
- Retail investors buy at the top, while smart money is selling out.
Bear Market π»:
- Prices crash significantly, and fear sets in π±.
- Many sell at a loss, creating despair and regret π.